I think I may have written before about the dangers of betting on 'bumpers for jumpers.' You can never be quite sure who is trying to win and who is using the 'race' as an opportunity for a free racecourse gallop. Today's 1.55 at Newcastle provided a case in point. Plenty in the Tank was sent off the 9/2 2nd favourite. The horse is trained by Olly Murphy and owned by Oliver Jack Murphy (who I am assuming is a relation). In October 2019, when trained by Ed de Giles, it won a bumper at Chepstow quite easily. It was then bought for £75k by the current owner. The horse had wind surgery and ran poorly in 2 hurdle races for Olly Murphy. In today's race it looked to my eye that Plenty in the Tank was on a schooling run. He started near the back, ran round fine and finished 7th of 12 with (well) plenty in the tank. Plenty in the Tank has gone into my tracker. I'd suggest the new owner will want to recoup some of that £75k before too long.
Thoroughly enjoyed listening to this RTE podcast about a great greyhound gamble centred on Mullingar dog track in 1978. It's described as a 'coup', which is not entirely accurate as ultimately it failed. It's wonderful charming story, really well told with interviews with the surviving organisers. The basic plot was to have an off course gamble at bookies across the whole of Ireland at tote odds on the classy stayer Ballydonnell Sam, while at the same time ensuring noone could bet on the favourite on the tote on track. There were 5 Tote windows at Mullingar and the team blocked these for the 15 minutes prior to the race by having really slow, complicated bets on all kinds of combinations other than the favourite, and making 'mistakes' so bets had to be cancelled and reissued. Ultimately they were so successful that only one bet at 1punt was placed on the Tote for Ballydonnell Sam, but it was this 'success' that proved to be the organisers' downfall....
Friday's bets were ok. There was money for Alexandra Romanov (returned 12/1 SP, having been widely available at 33/1 in the morning). Looked like winning a furlong out but just out battled to finish a promising 2nd. She's going in the tracker and should be well capable of winning a novice hurdle at Plumpton or Fontwell. As for Maazel he ran ok. I got the distance wrong, and it appeared to me so did the jockey! I think he can still win at 9 or 10 furlongs and is worth backing at small stakes a couple of more times. As for Saturday a mixed day. It started well with another Lee Carter horse, Enough Already in the 11.45 at Lingfield. I noted him with the comment "Now trained by LC. Fat at Kempton 16 Dec. Could win a handicap when fit". It appears the horse did not take umbrage at my body negative comments because he came from behind to win by a short head at a rewarding 14/1. I fancied GA Law in the 1.50 at Kempton, because of his Fontwell form when he had beaten Getaway...
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